Monday, April 15, 2019

Safety Income and Growth Inc SAFE


Safety Income and Growth Inc SAFE
Valueline Timeliness = 1
Investor's Business Daily Composite Score = 96
April 15, 2019 Price = $23.08

I started with a list of stocks with a 1 in either timeliness or performance from valueline and cross referenced that with a list of stocks that had at least a 94 composite number from investors business daily.   I then ran a quick SSG from better investing.  I am searching for stocks that are in the buy range.


Safety Income and Growth IncSAFE




The stock is in the buy range, but there are only a few years of historical numbers to work with.  I prefer at least 5 and love a good 10 years of historical sales and earnings to evaluate.



Recent history of insider transactions has all buys, so the managers of this company are optimistic.  

  • 2018
  •  - Q4

Safehold Enters Greater Philadelphia Market

NEW YORK --(BUSINESS WIRE)--Mar. 4, 2019-- Safehold Inc. (NYSE: SAFE) today announced its expansion into the Greater Philadelphia market, offering its modern, customer-friendly Safehold ground lease capital in unison with a leasehold loan from an institutional national bank to facilitate the

Safehold Closes Two More Transactions in Texas

NEW YORK --(BUSINESS WIRE)--Feb. 28, 2019-- Safehold Inc. (NYSE: SAFE) continues its expansion in Texas with two Safehold™ ground leases in high growth submarkets of Dallas-Fort Worth . Both transactions were closed with our repeat client Admiral Capital . This press release features multimedia.

Funds from Operations (FFO) is a higher quality measure of SAFE’s earnings compared to net income. This term is very common in the REIT investing world as it provides a cleaner look at its cash flow from daily operations by excluding impact of one-off activities or non-cash items such as depreciation. For SAFE, its FFO of US$8.7m makes up 40% of its gross profit, which means over a third of its earnings are high-quality and recurring.
Robust financial health can be measured using a common metric in the REIT investing world, FFO-to-debt. The calculation roughly estimates how long it will take for SAFE to repay debt on its balance sheet, which gives us insight into how much risk is associated with having that level of debt on its books. With a ratio of 2.8%, the credit rating agency Standard & Poor would consider this as aggressive risk. This would take SAFE 35.41 years to pay off using just operating income, which is a long time, and risk increases with time. But realistically, companies have many levers to pull in order to pay back their debt, beyond operating income alone.
Next, interest coverage ratio shows how many times SAFE’s earnings can cover its annual interest payments. Usually the ratio is calculated using EBIT, but for REITs, it’s better to use FFO divided by net interest. This is similar to the above concept, but looks at the nearer-term obligations. With an interest coverage ratio of 0.88x, SAFE is not generating an appropriate amount of cash from its borrowings. Typically, a ratio of greater than 3x is seen as safe.
Safety, Income and Growth has been portrayed as a relatively safe play - particularly as it trades below book value. However, there are real risks to the business model.
Currently, the company does not cover the dividend if all business expenses are considered as cash.
The business model makes zero on initial rent yields versus borrowing costs. There is little near-term economies of scale.
While contract escalators are tied to CPI, historically, LIBOR and CPI have had a different relationship. A return to historical norms would cause leases to be cash flow negative upon refinance.

Monday, April 8, 2019

BioSpecifics Technologies Corp (BSTC)


BioSpecifics Technologies Corp. is a biopharmaceutical company that has developed injectable collagenase for twelve clinical indications to date. Injectable collagenase (collagenase clostridium histolyticum or CCH) is marketed as XIAFLEX® in the U.S. for the treatment of Dupuytren's contracture and Peyronie's disease by BioSpecifics' partner, Endo International plc (Endo). XIAFLEX® is also commercialized in Japan, Europe, Canada and Australia for Dupuytren’s contracture and for Peyronie's disease in Canada, Europe and Australia.
Endo is partnered with Paladin Labs, Sobi, Actelion and Asahi Kasei for Dupuytren's contracture and/or Peyronie's disease outside of the U.S.
Corporate Presentation
Recent and Upcoming Events
Wednesday, September 27, 2017
1:05pm EDT
Tuesday, September 12, 2017
11:40am EDT
Tuesday, June 6, 2017 - Friday, June 9, 2017
Wednesday, April 5, 2017
8:00am EDT

Based on the latest filings, there is 19.00% of insider ownership and 82.20% of institutional ownership.
https://reagentsglobalmarket.com/2019/04/08/latest-movement-biospecifics-technologies-corp-nasdaq-bstc-2/

Wednesday, April 3, 2019

HFF, Inc (HF)

HFF, Inc. engages in the provision of commercial real estate and capital markets services. It offers investment banking, loan sales & distressed asset sales, investment advisory services, debt placement solutions & services, entity & project level equity services and commercial loan services. The company was founded in 1982 and is headquartered in Dallas, TX.



Company website investors page
http://phx.corporate-ir.net/phoenix.zhtml?c=205281&p=irol-irhome

Jones Lang LaSalle Inc. (JLL) is a leading professional service firm specializing in real estate and investment management. On March 19th, JLL announced an agreement in which it will purchase all outstanding shares of HFF Inc. (HF) in a cash and stock transaction valued at approximately $2 billion.

Under the terms of the agreement. HFF shareholders will receive $24.63 in cash and 0.1505 shares of JLL for each HFF share. This values HFF at $49.16 per share, a 6% premium over the March 18th closing price. JLL plans to fund the cash part of the deal using both cash reserves and its existing syndicated credit facility. The transaction has already received the approvals of the boards of directors of both companies. All seven HFF executive committee members have settled to vote their shares in favor of the deal, representing 3% ownership of the company. The transaction is expected to close in the third quarter of this year subject to HFF shareholder approval and regulatory review. At the close of the transaction, JLL and HFF shareholders are expected to own 87% and 13% of the combined company respectively
https://seekingalpha.com/article/4252303-jones-lang-lasalles-acquisition-hff-strengthens-capital-markets-presence

Wednesday, March 27, 2019

STORE Capital Corp (STOR)

This publicly-traded organization generated gains of 5.46% over the last 5 sessions. Right now, this stock is the subject of 14 analysts’ evaluations, who – on average – have given this company’s shares a Buy rating. Not a Single analyst have given underperform rating or sell rating, and 3 have given a rating of Buy or better. Based on the 14 stock market experts following this company, the average 12-month price target is $33.71. Moreover, individual price targets range between $31.00-$37.00. With its recent move to $33.75, we can see that these firms project this stock will gain by 39.97% in one year.
https://finmercury.com/2019/03/27/highlighted-analyst-calls-for-store-capital-corporation-stor-urban-outfitters-inc-urbn/
This particular company’s shares have garnered a lot of attention in recent days, as insiders are unloading their holdings while having generated a 0.80% rise since the beginning of the calendar year. A Director at STORE Capital Corporation (STOR) bought some of its shares in a transaction that was finalized on Nov 28.
https://finmercury.com/2019/03/27/highlighted-analyst-calls-for-store-capital-corporation-stor-urban-outfitters-inc-urbn/

Friday, March 15, 2019

N A P C O SECURITY TECH (NSSC) Company Analysis

Description

Napco Security Technologies, Inc. manufactures and sells security products and software worldwide. The company offers access control systems, door security products, intrusion and fire alarm systems, and video surveillance systems for commercial, residential, institutional, industrial, and governmental applications. Its access control systems include various types of identification readers, control panels, PC-based computers, and electronically activated door-locking devices; and door locking devices comprise microprocessor-based electronic door locks with push button, card readers and bio-metric operation, door alarms, mechanical door locks, and simple dead bolt locks. The company's alarm systems include automatic communicators, cellular communication devices, control panels, combination control panels/digital communicators and digital keypad systems, fire alarm control panels, and area detectors; and video surveillance systems comprise video cameras, control panels, video monitors, or PCs. It also buys and resells various identification readers, video cameras, PC-based computers, and peripheral equipment for access control and video surveillance systems; and markets peripheral and related equipment manufactured by other companies. The company markets and sells its products primarily to independent distributors, dealers, and installers of security equipment. Napco Security Technologies, Inc. was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Amityville, New York.
Valueline Performance = 1
Investor's Business Daily = 99
Price Earnings Ratio = 39
Earnings Per Share Growth = 114
Price Earnings/EPS Growth Ratio (PEG) = .34



Flawless balance sheet with solid track record

NSSC delivered a bottom-line expansion of 57% in the prior year, with its most recent earnings level surpassing its average level over the last five years. Not only did NSSC outperformed its past performance, its growth also exceeded the Electronic industry expansion, which generated a 40% earnings growth. This is what investors like to see!  NSSC is financially robust, with ample cash on hand and short-term investments to meet upcoming liabilities. This implies that NSSC manages its cash and cost levels well, which is a key determinant of the company’s health. Looking at NSSC’s capital structure, the company has no debt on its balance sheet. This means it is running its business only on equity capital funding, which is typically normal for a small-cap company. Therefore the company has plenty of headroom to grow, and the ability to raise debt should it need to in the future.


Company Website

2018 Annual Report 

Corporate Presentation


The ability of the educational administrative community to secure adequate, objective advice and counsel on how to address the mass shooting crisis, from the current configuration of the security industry, has been compromised by several factors. First of all, there has been a large duplication of effort, with thousands of school districts across the country acting locally in trying to secure knowledge and expertise in security. Additionally, there is no single certified body of specialized, education sector security professionals in existence, that can be assured in supplying education officials with objective, accurate, unbiased and above all, cost-effective guidance in ameliorating the mass shooting threat at their schools. Finally, there is no universally accepted process for auditing a school facility for security vulnerability and no quantitative measurement tool to be utilized in conducting that audit. This paper outlines the need for a national school security association or body to be created, as well as the unification of the security industry, in creating a comprehensive process and clearing house for expertise to be constructively applied to the school active shooter problem.

Sunday, March 10, 2019

Gravity Co., Ltd. (GRVY) Company Analysis


Gravity Co., Ltd. develops, publishes, and distributes online games in South Korea, Japan, the United States, Canada, Taiwan, the Philippines, Thailand, Hong Kong, Macau, China, and internationally. It offers online games; mobile games and applications; and other games and game-related products and services, including character-based merchandise and animation. The company also provides massively multiplayer online role playing games. In addition, it provides console games and a game for Internet protocol television; and licenses the merchandising rights of character-related products based on its online games. Further, the company markets dolls, stationery, food, and other character-based merchandise, as well as game manuals, monthly magazines, and other publications. Additionally, it provides Website development and operation services; and sells goods related to mobile phones. The company was founded in 2000 and is headquartered in Seoul, South Korea. Gravity Co., Ltd. is a subsidiary of GungHo Online Entertainment, Inc. https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/GRVY/profile?p=GRVY


Value Line give this stock a 1 in performance.  The Value Line Performance Rank measures relative probable price performance of the approximately 1,750 stocks during the next six to 12 months on an easy-to-understand scale from 1 (Highest) to 5 (Lowest). The components of the Performance Ranking System include factors such as the five-year trend of relative earnings and prices, recent earnings and price changes combined with technical ranks. All data are actual and known. A computer program combines these elements into a forecast of the price change of each stock, relative to all other approximately 1,750 stocks for the six to 12 months ahead.-Rank 1 (Highest): These stocks, as a group, are expected to be the best performers relative to the Value Line universe during the next six to 12 months (100 stocks )

http://www.valueline.com/About/Ranking_System.aspx



Gravity's market cap is $399.145 million.  
Companies that have a market capitalization of between $300 million to $2 billion are generally classified as small-cap companies. These small companies could be young in age and/or they could serve niche markets and new industries. These companies are considered higher risk investments due to their age, the markets they serve, and their size. Smaller companies with fewer resources are more sensitive to economic slowdowns.Market capitalization refers to the total dollar market value of a company's outstanding shares. Commonly referred to as "market cap," it is calculated by multiplying a company's shares outstanding by the current market price of one share. The investment community uses this figure to determine a company's size, as opposed to using sales or total asset figures.https://www.investopedia.com/terms/m/marketcapitalization.asp

Investor's Business Daily gives Gravity a Composite score of 99
The IBD SmartSelect Composite Rating combines all 5 SmartSelect Ratings into one easy-to-use rating. More weight is placed on EPS and RS Rating, and the stock's percent off its 52-week high is also included in the formula. Results are then compared to all other companies, and each company is assigned a rating from 1-99 with 99 being the best. A 90 rating means that the stock has outperformed 90% of all other stocks in terms of its combined SmartSelect Ratings.https://education.investors.com/financial-dictionary/general/composite-rating-cma--smartselect-rgr-

Annual Return on Equity is 35.8%
Industry Average is 16%
Return on equity (ROE) is a measure of profitability that calculates how many dollars of profit a company generates with each dollar of shareholders' equity.ROE is more than a measure of profit; it's a measure of efficiency. A rising ROE suggests that a company is increasing its ability to generate profit without needing as much capital. It also indicates how well a company's management is deploying the shareholders' capital. In other words, the higher the ROE the better. Falling ROE is usually a problem.
However, it is important to note that if the value of the shareholders' equity goes down, ROE goes up. Thus, write-downs and share buybacks can artificially boost ROE. Likewise, a high level of debt can artificially boost ROE; after all, the more debt a company has, the less shareholders' equity it has (as a percentage of total assets), and the higher its ROE is.
Some industries tend to have higher returns on equity than others. As a result, comparisons of returns on equity are generally most meaningful among companies within the same industry, and the definition of a "high" or "low" ratio should be made within this context.
https://investinganswers.com/financial-dictionary/financial-statement-analysis/return-equity-roe-916

Gravity has no debt. 
A significant portion of our revenues has been and is currently derived from Ragnarok Online and other games developed based on the contents of Ragnarok Online. We derived Won 37,483 million (US$ 35,116 thousand) in revenues from Ragnarok Online in 2017 and Won 29,446 million in revenues from Ragnarok Online in 2016, representing approximately 26.5% and 57.3% of our total revenues in 2017 and 2016, respectively. Also, we derived Won 83,907 million (US$ 78,607 thousand) in revenues from the games developed based on the contents of Ragnarok Online in 2017 and Won 7,930 million in 2016, representing approximately 59.2% and 15.4% of our total revenues in 2017 and 2016, respectively.  Ragnarok Online has been on the market for sixteen years and has reached maturity in most of our principal markets. The Company has continually maintained, improved and updated Ragnarok Online. If we fail to maintain, improve, update or enhance Ragnarok Online in a timely manner or successfully introduce it in new markets, this is likely to lead to a continual decline in Ragnarok Online’s user base and subscription revenues and royalties. This would likely lead to a declinehttps://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1313310/000156459018009525/grvy-20fa_20171231.htm

Ownership information
Institutional - 8.2%
Board Members - 0%
General Public - 33%
Public Companies - 59%
https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/media/nasdaq-grvy/gravity/news/do-institutions-own-gravity-co-ltd-nasdaqgrvy-shares/

Ragnarok Online established a healthy game culture by promoting a nonviolent, nonsexual, and non-speculative online game environment. In addition, the game has gained tremendous popularity among the overseas gamers due to its excellent community system and attractive character designs.  Today, Ragnarok Online is recognized as a global standard across 80 countries worldwide, including countries in Europe, North America, and Africa, bringing together the world under a single online game.http://www.gravity.co.kr/en/games/index.asp